CAUTION: MATH AHEAD
You should
rarely get hit two times in a row, it is not impossible (as never implies). Using the same criteria above (equal skill, 0 HCI), the probability of getting
hit twice in any two hits at 45 DCI is 11.9% (=0.345*0.345), since they are not independant of one another. The probability of getting
hit twice in a row at 45 DCI is 34.5% (=1*0.345), since "twice in a row" implies you were already hit once (which equates to 100%=1). There is a clear distinction between the two scenarios I described. Those two scenarios are both far from the 0% chance that "never" implies.
Mathmatically, the numbers are what they are. There is no theory involved in simple algebra. The hit chance calculations are designed around an RNG, which is assumed to be random. The system cannot be designed in any other fashion. If the RNG is not truely random and prone to streakiness (as in the case with UO's) then the math will appear to be wrong, when it is not. The problem would lie in the RNG, which is not part of this publish.
Given that the sacrifice to obtain 95 DCI is unknow, I will keep my hopes in check.
Stayin Alive,
BG