I think what Garriott says about gently shifting all these new casual gamers to deeper games could very well happen. Here is an interesting video about female gamers which is sort of related:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R8ZVZRsy8N8&feature=channel
Nice link! I've seen a video by this guy before, but that was some time ago.. Didn't even realize he was still making them.
And if you really think about it, not only could it very well happen, it's already happened with everyone. Think about how video games started - They were simple, crappy looking games. Pong. Space Invaders. Pac Man. Then we get Mario Brothers, Doom, Final Fantasy, Dragon Warrior, Ultima. Before you know it, we're up to Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2, Final Fantasy XIII, Assassin's Creed, Uncharted 2, and Dragon Age.
The very same evolution has already occurred for people who already play video games. The difference is the technology and accessibility. Throughout gaming history, the technology took a lot longer to complete that evolution (And make no mistake, the cycle of gaming as we know it has pretty much come to it's upper limits). How many years between Atari and Playstation 3? 8086 and Quad Core Pentium 4? And how did you learn about them? Maybe you saw it in a store. Maybe a friend had one.
Flash and Facebook represent the rebirth of that very same cycle. It's starting all over again, only it will evolve much, much quicker. More than that, as the link you suggested notes, developers are paying more attention this time to what and how they market to ensure it attracts as many customers as possible - Male, female, young, old. Everyone. Social media is only going to spread the word faster, and with more people, more money, more information, it's going to get very interesting at rates we never thought possible.
It'll start simple. Bejeweled, Snood (God, so much time wasted on that one), Farmville. Someone WILL eventually make an excellent flash-based, media-integrated MMO - The question is simply, who will get there first?
Will everyone play it? No. Some will never be attracted to that style of gaming. You play to relax, as you said, but you personally appreciate the value in more complex forms of gaming. Not everyone will, and there's nothing wrong with that.
But if 1 of every 5 people who play Farmville try a flash-based MMO (Wishful thinking, I know), that's, what, 16 million more MMO players?
Be stupid not to try to get in on that action.
