Tina Small started this thread and has been putting together a very nice, exhaustive spreadsheet that lists the numbers for refinement components from ALL possible sources - and it can be found here.
In my post #38 (here), I listed specific refinements found as well as the
important contents of 57 Trammel SOS chests and what level of SOS (10,20 or 30k) chest each came from. Like Adol, I have spent a lot of time fishing this past year. I have one fishermen that pretty much has done nothing but fish for SOS's from Sea Serpents and another fisherman that does nothing but fish up the SOS chests. So I am very knowledgeable when it comes to
what is obtained from the primary 3 levels of SOS chests.
In the past couple of weeks alone, I have done in excess of 1500 chests gathering refinement components.
A few things regarding refinements in SOS chests became apparent fairly early on...
The first is that the
level of refinement (by level I mean "of Defense" as being the lowest (most common) component - up to "of Invulnerability" the highest level (most uncommon found) - that the
component level has NOTHING to do with the "level" of SOS chest. My reason for saying that is this: One of the 7 "of Invulnerability" refinements obtained came from a Level 1 (10k) SOS chest. This means that - however they have coded the rng for refinements - they have given all levels of SOS chests the possibility of spawning with all levels of refinement components. Furthurmore, we have no way of knowing what Level an SOS will be prior to fishing it up - so even if the refinement component level was tied to - let's say 30k chests - it would make no difference in fishing them up - since you
can't know the level
before you fish it up.
The next thing I can confirm, is that the chance of getting one or more refinement components on any given SOS is somewhere between 20% and 40% of all SOS chests - and my guess is that it's closer to 20%. As mentioned in the pic I posted earlier today, I am going to dedicate my next 100 SOS's to gathering an exact % and will post it here.
Next, the chance of getting multiple refinement components on a single SOS chest is increased in the same manner as the number of items in an SOS. It goes up according to what level the SOS is. So, you are more apt to find multiple components in a 30k chest than in a 20k chest and almost never (perhaps actually never) find multiple refinements in a 10k chest.
And finally. Given the % (or rarity) of obtaining Invulnerability refinements at between 1% and 2% (and that's between 1 and 2% of all refinements obtained) - and given that you only stand a 20 to 40% chance of getting a refinement component from all SOS chests - it means that
- the odds of getting Invulnerability refinements from SOS chests is somewhere seriously LESS than 1% - pretty darn rare. IMHO - TOO RARE.
What do you think?