Those are by no means conservative numbers when talking about UO. Getting 25,000 new accounts might boost UO subscriptions by 1/4 to 1/3. That is a 25-33% increase.
Yes but when was the last time a box was on the shelf? 8th age/SE? Maybe, if it was stocked? I know my game store only had the pre-orders that were dispatched on those two editions and even then they had NO clue about them until I rang them and got them to look it up to order. Before that, AOS?
As for Marketing, UO has had a total of ZERO marketing of any real value since I have been playing. That is for the last 6 years! Never seen a poster, never seen a tv add, never seen it on the shelves in shop, never seen it in magazines, just the odd footnote of a mention re it being the 'oldest' yadda yadda when they talk about other games of this genre.
I started playing due to a box being on the shelf. If a box hadn't been there I wouldn't of started. There was ONE AOS box on the shelf, I looked at it, figured it would be something I would like to play and bought it. Simple. Since then I have 5 accounts and have done for 6 yrs now.
If I am looking for a new game to play I go into the store and look what is on the shelves, I don't scour company game sites to see what is available to download. You actually have to 'know' about a product before you can search it out online. Otherwise it is basically hit and miss if you stumble across it.
I think if SA is a product that actually 'works' and is not full of bugs that it deserves a box. A lot of people just don't want to download gigs of stuff to play a game. Anyone wanting KR now has to download probably about 8 -10 gigs of game and patches. I know if my hard drive went belly up tomorrow I would NOT download it all again, with all the patches etc. If SA has anywhere near the download and bug fix patches then it is just one more thing to put people off.
The only consolation with this 'release' announcement is EA have FINALLY decided to actually LIST UOSA on
THEIR OWN DARN WEBSITE.
The fact they haven't bothered to list any other UO or even the 'current' AVAILABLE versions of UO but just the 'coming soon SA' which is listed as out of stock tells us all the level of commitment EA has to this product. The game will never get new players without boxes on shelves and a directed marketing campaign.
However, the biggest drawback is the level of rampant cheating in the 2d client, which while ever it is around or remains so easy to cheat/hack/script for with the cheats never being addressed, it will never allow UO to get a level playing field with all players using the same client. Until this happens, which will probably be never, then I would bet subscriptions will just continue to dwindle until it becomes non viable in today's market. The game leeches players due to this cheating far quicker than any new players join.
The thing that annoys the hell out of me is that they have a product here that COULD get lots of new subscriptions if it was marketed and the cheating addressed. People play games for CONTENT, and UO has the best content of any rpg game in it's genre. Graphics are fine as far as they go, but even the best graphics won't maintain subs if the content isn't there. The fact that UO still has the subs it has after close to 12 yrs should demonstrate the playability of this product. I wish EA would wake up and actually 'see' this.
As a footnote: the ONLY two genuine new players I have talked to in the last 4 months started playing as one of them found an old copy of 8th age? (from memory) on the shelf, started playing and got his mate to play. They are loving it.