Easily more.
If you consider the number of people that don't use Luna, play more during the day then that night and those that don't go to fell (but yeah, they're still active) then I would guess closer to 250, plus there's been a steady flow of returnees the past 2 weeks.
Stratics is a very poor indication of what Oceania is, the forums here are practically dead now and its not because people aren't playing.
It's actually quite surprising but you encounter a lot of people out of champs and Luna Bank!
I will often go Marty hunting and almost all the good spots are usually taken, every time I go for an IDOC run I will find 15-20 people in their houses, lately there is almost always people at Terra Island spawn and Damwin (especially during the AM to midday hours) and WBB+Heaven generally have a few people sitting around (especially since the new Circle at WBB).