Speaking of those leading FtP games in the MMORPG genre, has anyone visited the DDO boards lately? Sure, they started out like gangbusters when they went freeFREEfree!
Now their boards aren't any more active than these here. What's that say about their model now, now that you no longer hear anything about their successful model, and their site is full of sales and special prices.
What remains when the newness wears off?
Maybe the players are actually playing the game and enjoying it? Could be less bugs/issues so not so many people griping as they are here over issues?
Not all players post on forums. Some just read them and never make a post. If all current UO players were posting on stratics right now with the
active forum posters then I be scared of the future of the game. Cant measure a player base because of who posts or not post on a game forum. Could be many reasons but I highly doubt they are hurting. Plus you have other fan sites of UO that have posters that dont posts on stratics but post on their sites. Flutter runs a site. Lord Chaos has the other.
I play Voyage Century Online which is F2P. Not many people post on their forums but man do I see alot of people in the game.
The law of averages almost always prevails.
Plus, I have real doubts about the proclamations of success. I'll explain. But first, understand that the people responsible for the FtP switch have everything riding on it being successful.
With that in mind, I'll explain my doubts.
With everything said, none of it conclusively shows any real improvement, from what I've noticed.
For example:
They (DDO) say that their
"revenue" increased by 500%. Gamer blogs and so called "news" people turn that into
"profits". There's a
big difference between "revenue" and "profit". In other words, if their revenue was 600% below what they needed to be profitable, then a 500% increase doesn't do it. I'm sure they are making money, just saying that maybe it's not as good as it looks, and may not be all that good in perspective, because DDO was desperate enough to make this move in the first place.
They say they gained
"1 million more users", but fail to say that any of these users gave them any money at all, or played the game for more than an hour. I number in that figure. I created an account just to see what it was like, downloaded the game, and it wouldn't work. I didn't even waste any time finding out why, I simply uninstalled and blew it off. Yet there I am, a number.
They say their subscribers doubled. What's that mean? If they had 200 subs, they then had 400? It means nothing without real numbers.
I have no doubts that they were doing ok, when it was new and free
FREEfree!. But what is it now, after the newness has worn off? Have they said anything?
And what about LoTRO?
Same exact thing (except it was a 300% increase). They say "revenues", gamer blogs turn it into "profits".
Revenues, in case anyone doesn't know, is what you bring in before you take out for expenses. And if you went from a revenue of $1 to $6, you had a 500% increase. And if your expenses are $7, you still lost money.
And we don't see any new claims from either as to how good they are doing, if it's continued or not.
But I'm not saying they lost money or are going to fold. I'm saying that what they've said leaves lots of room for questions. And I have to wonder why they are leaving it that way.
Why not say what percentage of profits?
But I didn't exactly do a full effort here. I might have missed something. I might be all wrong and maybe they are world beating it all to hell. You see, I don't care. I am not playing games that sell "win" and accomplishment. I'm not playing a game that sells skill/level gain boosts, stat boosts, healing ability, and half of what's worth gaining in said game....while soaking it's players for all they can, while not making said game any better because, hey, they have no incentive because there's a sucker born every second.
None of this means UO is definitely going FtP. I think they will from what I've seen, but I don't know for sure. Nor do we have any idea what model it would be, since UO is so unique. We'll see when we see.