I agree, UO's player base isn't all that big (it's almost incestuous really), and nobody really exists in a bubble. In the RP-circles I've frequented, a lot of the same names seem to pop in and out, and even on Catskills EM events, I see a lot of names I recognize from Atlantic. I have no doubt that everyone who has any investment or knowledge of the game knows exactly what their choices are and are just as informed as I am, if not more.I think it is wrong to assume that players on slow shard are there in a bubble... Unaware of what other shards offer in terms of population. I would wager that most of them have at one point experimented with playing other shards. I will use myself as an example (whether I represent the typical small shard player could be up for debate, but I'll say that I do):
I started UO in 1998 on Napa and played exclusively there until 2003.
I returned to UO in 2010, initially on Napa. Since my return I have experimented with play on Sonoma, Pacific, Great Lakes, Lake Austin and Atlantic. I have a diverse compliment of characters on those shards including Tamers, Mages, Crafters, Fishers, etc. I have had houses on Napa, Sonoma, Lake Austin and Atlantic. I have been in very large guilds and small guilds, PvP guilds and PvM guilds. I enjoy most aspects of UO, and participate in all of them fairly regularly.
And for all I have done and the places I have done it, I prefer Napa. Not so much for its nostalgia (though I do like it), but for its pace and its players. No offense meant, but IMO there are just far too many a**holes on ATL. Players who sole reason to play UO seems to be to create as much grief for other players as they can. And I'm not talking about PvP, or even PKs. I couldn't tell you the last time I ran into one of those types of players on Napa. I know most players on Napa even though I may not be friends with them. And even the ones I will PvP with on sight if I see them in fel are decent players.
I chose Napa because I like the experience of playing that shard much more than I enjoy places like ATL. And I am willing to bet most of the folks who have chosen to stay on slower shards are going to tell you a pretty similar story.
Also, my reasons for leaving Atlantic a year and a half ago for Catskills (along with the original poster) are probably not dissimilar to yours. During my time on Atlantic, I met a lot of cool people, but I definitely encountered the mentality you cited. I'm not entirely convinced that the Atlantic is necessarily linked to the population-size or just the character of the shard, particularly it's role as UO's giant shopping mall. On the other hand, I just don't see a handful of Atlantic clones being the direct result of a shard consolidation because I simply don't believe that the UO player base is that large anymore. I get the feeling you think it would be.
I am curious how you rate your Napa experience between 1998 and 2003 to the one you currently have now. It's my experience that there are like a handful of active RP guilds on Catskills right now. During the summer of 1998, our guild had war status with approximately 100 role-playing guilds. I realize that these numbers are never happening again, but it'd be nice to even have double what we have now. I don't think argueing for shard mergers or player consolidations are doing it to agitate or force people together, it's out of concern for the game's long-term health and survivability and a desire to see increased activity. Would it permanently break UO? I can't say for sure, it would probably depend on the specifics (and I've seen some nice suggestions in this thread). But Trammel didn't. Age of Shadows didn't. However, I think it'd be nice to see some sort of risk-taking rather than the current slow-death status quo.