If you're any good at writing Excel/Google Docs, you could tell us! I've just passed 500 results now, and I'm certain it rolls twice for Item Type and then Intensity, as you get the Books, Bait, Scrolls or Hooks at any level... but if you check the sticky "I Want Yer Results" at the top here, you can perhaps find out for us exactly where each item is fallingThank you all for the information! Ha - I was hoping I could catch more lava rocks and pavers with them.... I have gotten three times as many lava traps as lava hooks. Ah well.
Any ideas - is there a "sweet spot" in reputation with the fish-monger tribe that yields more lava hooks? It seems like the more quests I do, and the harder the quest are, I'm more likely to get bait cups. But I've not been doing these for that long, so could just be luck.
I'm not sure if either of you are right, at least with regards to chasing just one item; the big hidden variable is what the odds are for an Item Type matched against the Quest Points. I've been getting Hooks at every level of fish, including some at near the total cap, but they're almost always Lava Hooks at huge fish points. What I don't know is whether you get less hooks at high than you would at low fish points, which would answer whether dropping a quest matters; If you get more Hooks at low, or just more likely a wider range of Hooks, dropping would make sense as even a 6 liner isn't going to be too high with the fish being kept at size 10. If it doesn't matter or it makes it more likely you'll get a Hook (even if it turns out to always be Lava) at higher points, not abandoning quests to keep the average quest high would be useful instead... not assuming a corresponding increase in how much fishing has to be done to fill them of course!
What I can say is, if you're not after Bait, you're in the wrong business 67% of the total of every result seems to be remaining consistent so far!
Thank you for hashing all this out with me!There is thus, at a set point size, a fixed list of rewards, which then gets randomly rolled against for item type, and then as it's mentioned there's an "overlap", a second roll for what level/intensity of it where some of the items are in more than one group. So for the scroll the 115 is probably in the highest of 4 tiers as well as the 120, as I've had both at huge fish point levels; for your hooks, Junk and Dredeging are probably in Order Size 1, Lava in Size 4.