THP is right on one thing. Its hard to say whether or not something has or has not been duped unfortunately. We don't have a firm head count on how many existed originally, so its hard for us to take an accurate reading. Some collectors are leaving the game and others are trading to get gold to add something different to their collection. Folks were concerned at the Pacific festival at the number of thin hay that appeared on folks vendors, but at the last festival I only saw a couple.
You most certainly -are- asking in the proper forum and my apologies that you have not gotten a response until now. If you have any questions relating to rares, please don't hesitate to ask.