well heres my take on it... I can tell you I have 778 Candy Corn, 1052 pumkin muffins, 892 pixie sticks (as for rares.. I have 5 milks, 4 cakes, 5 pizzas, 8 wines, 3 cookies (and only 1 of the webs). so doing the math it looks like its about a .9 drop rate for me, now if you added in the amount of times I have died or been tricked I am probalby down near the .6 % range to get a rare drop. And my percentage to get a spider web...well that would be a meer .04 % chance which at being a GM beggar is just rediculous and almost a slap in the face!
Should have made the web like the .05% to those with begging at like 90 to 99.9 and atleast give the GM beggars something for their efforts like up near a 1 %... I GMed begging a year ago, just to have for that rare occaision that it would ever be worth having, now that I have it.. it still doesnt seem like it was worth it! I would be better off farming the trinkets and spellbooks - selling them and buying the small webs!